Maral Posted May 25, 2004 Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 Whoever is going to have coffee with me better do it quick...before the big one hits! (Azat,enough smillies for you? ) Scientists Predict Major SoCal Quake Within Five Months LOS ANGELES -- A state earthquake council has given a qualified endorsement to a prediction by a group of scientists who believe that a temblor of magnitude-6.4 or greater will occur in the Southern California desert sometime in the next five months. The California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council, a group of eight scientists selected by the state Office of Emergency Services, said it considers the new prediction by the scientists to be "a legitimate approach in earthquake prediction research." Despite its support the panel noted in a report that "the physical basis for the prediction has not been substantiated." The team of scientists at the University of California, Los Angeles, predict that a quake will occur within a 12,000-square-mile area east of Los Angeles by Sept. 5. The zone includes a large swath of the Mojave Desert, the Coachella Valley, the Imperial Valley and eastern San Diego County. The area was the location of the magnitude-7.3 Landers earthquake in 1992 and the 7.1 Hector Mine quake in 1999. The zone is so seismically active that the council noted in its report that the chances of an earthquake of at least magnitude-6.4 occurring randomly in the area sometime before the Sept. 5 deadline is about 10 percent. The council concluded that the results do not warrant any special public policy actions in California. Such actions could include warnings to the public or alerts issued to utilities to help them prevent disruptions in service. The scientists piqued interest after they forecast the magnitude-6.5 San Simeon quake in December and the magnitude-8.1 quake last year off Japan's Hokkaido island. In both cases, the group set wide parameters in place and time. The team bases its predictions on long chains of small earthquakes recorded in the area. "In the vicinity of each such chain, we look backward and see its history over the preceding years -- whether our candidate (for an earthquake) was preceded by certain seismicity patterns," said lead team scientist Vladimir Keilis-Borok. "If yes, we accept the candidate as a short-term precursor and start a nine-month alarm." I AM ABSOLUTELY PETRIFIED! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Armat Posted May 25, 2004 Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 In eight years in LA I experienced five earthquakes. On one of them I was on a freeway and I thought I had a flat tire and after stopping the car my car was still moving up and down. Another time it hit at 2am and that’s when it is scary jumping from your sleep to God knows what. Maral jan just move your family here in Boston and I will give free art lessons to your kids. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sev-mard Posted May 25, 2004 Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 Hangist, tantig. In Palmdale there aren't many big buildings, you'll be fine! =D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maral Posted May 25, 2004 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 Hangist, tantig. In Palmdale there aren't many big buildings, you'll be fine! =D yeah soon I'll have beach front property I hear ARMAT..free lessons!? my bags are sooooooooo packed...you know that is my master plan..in my old age I plan on sneaking away to the New England coast and being one of those eccentric old ladies collecting shells,cooking fabulous meals for my friends and family and having wine on my front porch (ok so I have a vivid imagination,you never know,you might be one of my artistic eccentric friends I invite over ) ok back to this earthquake thing.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gevo27 Posted May 25, 2004 Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 predictions of earthquakes are to inclonclusive though!!!! And, iv been in LA for 15 years, the only 2 earthquakes i woke up to was the 1994 northridge quake and the 1997 one.. i dont even remember where that one was centered at... lol. but it was not a big deal and Maral jan, in palmdale yu dont even really get earthquakes, the san andraus fault is on the other side of the mountains lol.. and many miles away Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sev-mard Posted May 25, 2004 Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 predictions of earthquakes are to inclonclusive though!!!! And, iv been in LA for 15 years, the only 2 earthquakes i woke up to was the 1994 northridge quake and the 1997 one.. i dont even remember where that one was centered at... lol. but it was not a big deal and Maral jan, in palmdale yu dont even really get earthquakes, the san andraus fault is on the other side of the mountains lol.. and many miles away Actually we got A LOT of fault action from the San Andreas. There are also some other mini fault lines that run through the Antelope Valley. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maral Posted May 25, 2004 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 SHUT UP SEV! <_< Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sev-mard Posted May 25, 2004 Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 Did I mention that I'm happy to have moved from the 'beautiful' Antelope Valley...? Awww....all the dirt, and um tumbleweeds and um...yeah. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maral Posted May 25, 2004 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 where I live there are houses and malls and and and indoor plumbing impressive no? watch after all this talk about earthquakes,one hits Wisconsin or someplace (I'll keep my fingers crossed) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gevo27 Posted May 25, 2004 Report Share Posted May 25, 2004 Actually we got A LOT of fault action from the San Andreas. There are also some other mini fault lines that run through the Antelope Valley. Maralin sird em tali sev jan!!! inchu es vaghatsnum mer Maralin!!!... vayyy see Maral.. i was trying to help!!.. lol// I drive through the antelope valley almost every weekend to get to Kern Valley some places are just dirt and tumbleweeds,, but lotta places are quite advanced.. and yes even indoor plumbing, so maral is not kidding yeah!!!. lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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