Thus the negotiations around Gharabagh have ‘failed&#8

[MosJan]

Written by Hrayr AVETISSYAN

“CHORRORD ISHKHANOUTYOUN” daily Online, No. 216, Wednesday June 13, 2001,

Yerevan - Armenia

 

 

Thus the negotiations around Gharabagh have ‘failed’ again. The negotiation

process is frozen. And the civilized world is not able by any means to

understand what the authorities of Armenia want after all. As long as the

negotiation process was ongoing, these authorities were agreeing upon

anything – pulling out Armenian armed forces from the liberated (and not

‘OCCUPIED’ – A.K.) territories, leaving Gharabagh under the sovereignty of

Azerbaijan, supplying a corridor across Meghri, etc. Now it comes out that

Gharabagh has to be an independent state, and that we do not agree on a

lower status.

 

What happened during the past couple of months? What are the expectations

from the negotiation process? There are several possible alternatives:

 

Alternative 1:

The authorities of Armenia, in order to appear as ‘the good guy’ in the eyes

of the external world, had in the beginning accepted the presented

proposals, then at the end refused, by arguing the predominant public

opinion in Armenia which is unfavorable to such a solution. Hence it becomes

clear that as a result to such policies, the whole world may very hastily

position itself against Armenia, and no state will defend Armenia by

opposing internationally adopted and accepted norms. While a possible

re-start of war under international sanctions, means an unavoidable defeat.

 

Alternative 2:

The authorities of Armenia have in reality given their consent to all the

presented proposals (including the corridor over Meghri), only that they had

expected from the West some investments in several billion dollars. But

suddenly Russia appeared and inhibited the authorities of RA from accepting

such a document, for 2 main considerations:

a. Firstly, Meghri is a zone of ultimate strategic importance to Russia as

well, and Russian frontiers-guards are deployed there.

b. Secondly, if the West will buy Meghri by paying several billion dollars,

then it has to bargain about the price with Russia and not Armenia. Russia

does not tolerate, as in the Armenian saying, “to render a favor to the

bridegroom by kissing the cheeks of the bride” (harsi tsherov pesin

lavoutyoun anel).

 

Alternative 3:

In reality, Armenia and Azerbaijan (represented by the persons of

ex-Communist Party Secretary of Azerbaijani SSR and his ex-subordinate -

Gharabagh Silk Factory Communist organization secretary – A.K.) have long

ago ‘understood each other’ and have agreed upon the following: Armenia

carries out its negotiation ‘tactics’ from its ‘victorious’ positions, while

Azerbaijan initiates a new war, the result of which will be the OCCUPATION

of the territories in priory determined and agreed. In case of realization

of this ‘variante’, Aliyev’s son can peacefully inherit his father’s, Heydar

Aliyev’s throne, while Robert Kocharyan continues to rule over Armenia as a

‘patriotic’ “VOYIN” (combatant – A.K.), who was ‘strongly wishing’ a ‘From

Sea To Sea Armenia’, but was as always defeated at the end. This is in fact

the only alternative, as a result of which it becomes possible for them to

sell the LIBERATED territories (including Gharabagh), at the same time

pretending the roles of ‘national heroes’ (because they could have sold the

territories earlier, but they didn’t).

 

Alternative 4:

Simply, the authorities of Armenia have fallen in the middle of a silly

situation. Lacking any perspective, they are being guided by the impulsion

of the moment. This means that they are doing what is adequate at the given

moment. And this in its turn means that at a certain ‘given moment’ they

will simply be expelled from the ruling levers and nobody would protest

against it.

 

Therefore, there exist 4 explanations of all this. It is quite easy to

notice that in all four cases there isn’t a special difference whether the

entity OCCUPYING the post of the President of Armenia is a breathing human

organismor an empty pack of “Dirol” chewing gums. Because the absolute

absence of thinking capability is obvious and common in all of the 4 cases.

 

HRAYR AVETISSYAN

“CHORRORD ISHKHANOUTYOUN” daily Online, No. 216, Wednesday June 13, 2001,

Yerevan - Armenia

 

 

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