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News Analysis: Diplomatic ties straining between Turkey and Egypt
Nov. 23. 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/world/2013-11/23/c_125751771.htm

ANKARA, Nov. 23 (Xinhua) -- Relations between Turkey and Egypt took a nose-dive on Saturday with the latter expelling the Turkish ambassador in Cairo, which Ankara considered as a sign of escalating diplomatic tension between the two powerhouses in the Middle East.

"This means Egypt is not satisfied with recent overtures by Turkey to repair bilateral ties amid Ankara's continuous criticism on Egyptian military-backed interim government," Abdullah Bozkurt, political analyst in Ankara, told Xinhua.

"The two countries have recently been at loggerheads with each other; Turkey criticized Egypt's use of force against supporters of ousted Islamist president Mohamed Morsi, while Egypt condemned the Turkish government for interfering in its domestic affairs," Bozkurt added.

Diplomatic relations between the two countries have been strained since then. Both countries recalled their ambassadors for consultations in a tit-for-tat policy.

In early September, Turkey sent back its ambassador to Cairo as an indication to improve nervous ties, while Egypt did not return the favor by holding back the return of Abderahman Salah El-Din, Egyptian ambassador to Turkey, awaiting the revision of Turkey's stance on Egyptian interim government.

Turkish Ambassador to Egypt Huseyin Avni Botsali was summoned to Egypt's Foreign Ministry earlier this month to convey Cairo's discomfort and uneasiness over recent remarks by Turkish officials regarding Egypt.

Just a day before Morsi stood for trial in Cairo, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan publicly praised the four-finger Rabaa sign, a symbol cherished by the anti-army protesters and Morsi supporters in Egypt, as a defiance of interim government.

Erdogan said that the Rabaa symbol has become a sign saying " stop" to injustice in every corner of the world. "It is a sign to say stop to massacres and coups," he said.

"I suppose the Egyptian interim government has run out patience with awaiting Turkey to readjust its policy and toning down rhetoric," Mehmet Seyfettin Erol, professor of Ankara's Gazi University and head of the Center for International Strategic and Security Studies (USGAM), told Xinhua.

"The declaration of Turkish ambassador as persona non grata is a serious blow to the two countries' relations, as well as a significant message sent to Ankara," he underlined.

Meanwhile, Turkey also asked for a fair trial for Morsi, who was charged of inciting murdering protesters during the rallies outside the presidential palace in December 2012.

Turkish foreign ministry called on the Egyptian authorities to release Morsi and all other political prisoners, saying it would be a confidence-building measure contributed to dialogue and political reconciliation between the sides.

Erdogan had ever invited Morsi to appear at his ruling Justice and Development Party convention last year, which prompted claims that the Turkish government is ideologically close to the Muslim Brotherhood.

In July, Erdogan stated that he still considers the ousted president as the leader of Egypt.

"Currently, Morsi is still the Egyptian president because he was elected by the people. If we don't consider the situation like this, we would disregard the will of the Egyptian people. In Turkey we respect the will of the people, and we also respect the regime if they had won at the ballot box," he said.

"The narrow party vision of Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan will push relations to a course which Egypt was keen to avoid with the aim of preserving historical relations between the two countries." Egypt's presidential spokesman Ihab Badawi warned in November.

He underlined that Egypt is reevaluating ties with Turkey amid what he described as contradictory messages from Turkish officials.

"Both countries are tremendously important countries in the Middle East. The fallout for worsening ties will have repercussions beyond the region," Mesut Cevikalp, policy analyst, said.

"They need to find a political solution to normalize ties in respond to common threats and challenges that threaten stability in the region," he noted.

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Cairo expels Turkish ambassador, downgrades diplomatic relations

Published time: November 23, 2013

http://rt.com/news/egypt-turkey-downgrade-relations-198/

 

The Egyptian government is downgrading diplomatic relations with Turkey and is expelling the Turkish ambassador, a spokesman for the Foreign Ministry in Cairo announced.

 

Cairo said the Turkish ambassador was being ordered out of country over Turkey's continued “interference” in Egypt’s internal affairs.

 

Turkey is "attempting to influence public opinion against Egyptian interests, [and has] supported meetings of organizations that seek to create instability in the country," Foreign Ministry spokesman Badr Abdelatty said.

 

The ministry said in a statement Saturday the Egyptian government had decided to downgrade Turkey’s diplomatic representation to that of a charge d'affaires, and had already recalled its own ambassador in Turkey.

 

Ankara has said it will take "counter measures" following the expulsion of the Turkish ambassador from Cairo.

 

Turkey summoned Egypt’s charge d'affaires on Saturday over the expulsion of the envoy, the ministry said in a statement. Ankara also declared the Egyptian ambassador, currently out of the country, persona non grata.

 

"We are saddened by this situation," said Turkey's foreign ministry. "But responsibility before history belongs to Egypt's temporary administration which came to power under the extraordinary circumstances of the July 3 coup."

 

Earlier this month, Egypt's Foreign Ministry condemned comments from Turkish officials about ousted Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi.

 

The Egyptian government accused Turkey of “falsifying the real situation in Egypt and challenging the will of the Egyptian people,” the state news agency MENA reported.

 

On Nov. 5, the Turkish Foreign Ministry urged Cairo to release Morsi, who has been held in detention pending trial since July.

 

"We believe the release of all political prisoners, including elected President [Mohamed] Morsi, will contribute significantly to the emergence and sound implementation of the dialogue and reconciliation process in the country," the Turkish Foreign Ministry said in a statement on its website.

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"As in the sixteenth century … we will once again make the Balkans, the Caucasus, and the Middle East, together with Turkey , the center of world politics in the future. That is the goal of Turkish foreign policy and we will achieve it." Foreign Minister Ahmet Davotoglu

 

SO FAR TURKEY HAS BECOME THE CLOWN OF THE MIDDLE EAST

It will end up in flames during World War III

 

Deceiving 'Window of Opportunity '

'Arab Idol' No More
Backpedaling too late

 

Syria, Egypt Reveal Erdogan's 'Hidden Agenda'
By Nicola Nasser

http://en.ammonnews.net
Nov-23-2013
http://www.aina.org/...31123122501.htm

Quoted by Hillel Fradkin and Lewis Libby, writing in last March/April edition of www.worldaffairsjournal.org, the goal of Erdogan's AKP ruling party for 2023, as proclaimed by its recent Fourth General Congress, is: "A great nation, a great power." Erdogan urged the youth of Turkey to look not only to 2023, but to 2071 as well when Turkey "will reach the level of our Ottoman and Seljuk ancestors by the year 2071" as he said in December last year.

"2071 will mark one thousand years since the Battle of Manzikert (1071)," when the Seljuk Turks defeated the Byzantine Empire and heralded the advent of the Ottoman one, according to Fradkin and Libby.

Some six months ago, Davotoglu felt so confident and optimistic to assess that "it was now finally possible to revise the order imposed" by the British -- French Sykes-Picot Agreement of 1916 to divide the Arab legacy of the Ottoman Empire between them.

Davotoglu knows very well that Pan-Arabs have been ever since struggling unsuccessfully so far to unite as a nation and discard the legacy of the Sykes-Picot Agreement, but not to recur to the Ottoman status quo ante, but he knows as well that Islamist political movements like the Muslim Brotherhood International (MBI) and the Hizb ut-Tahrir al-Islami (Islamic Party of Liberation) were originally founded in Egypt and Palestine respectively in response to the collapse of the Ottoman Islamic caliphate. [this may explain was Erdogan became a member of Muslim Brotherhood before being elected PM]

However, Erdogan's Islamist credentials cannot be excluded as simply a sham; his background, his practices in office since 2002 as well as his regional policies since the eruption of the Syrian conflict less than three years ago all reveal that he does believe in his version of Islam per se as the right tool to pursue his Ottoman not so-"hidden agenda."

Erdogan obviously is seeking to recruit Muslims as merely "soldiers" who will fight not for Islam per se, but for his neo-Ottomanism ambitions. Early enough in December 1997, he was given a 10-month prison sentence for voicing a poem that read: "The mosques are our barracks, the domes our helmets, the minarets our bayonets and the faithful our soldiers;" the poem was considered a violation of Kemalism by the secular judiciary.

Deceiving 'Window of Opportunity '

However, Erdogan's Machiavellianism finds no contradiction between his Islamist outreach and his promotion of the "Turkish model," which sells what is termed as the "moderate" Sunni Islam within the context of Ataturk's secular and liberal state as both an alternative to the conservative tribal-religious states in the Arabian Peninsula and to the sectarian rival of the conservative Shiite theocracy in Iran.

He perceived in the latest US withdrawal of focus from the Middle East towards the Pacific Ocean a resulting regional power vacuum providing him with an historic window of opportunity to fill the perceived vacuum. [Actually US was pushed out of the Middle East and is in the proccess of being pushed out after the fiasco of the "Arab Spring" while Russia is getting stronger steadily in the Middle East]

"Weakening of Europe and the US' waning influence in the Middle East" were seen by the leadership of Erdogan's ruling party "as a new chance to establish Turkey as an influential player in the region," Günter Seufert wrote in the German Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) on last October 14.

The US and Israel, in earnest to recruit Turkey against Iran, nurtured Erdogan's illusion of regional leadership. He deluded himself with the unrealistic belief that Turkey could stand up to and sidestep the rising stars of the emerging Russian international polar, the emerging Iranian regional polar and the traditional regional players of Egypt and Saudi Arabia , let alone Iraq and Syria should they survive their current internal strife.

For sure, his allies in the Muslim Brotherhood International (MBI) and his thinly veiled Machiavellian logistical support of al-Qaeda -- linked terrorist organizations are not and will not be a counter balance.

He first focused his Arab outreach on promoting the "Turkish model," especially during the early months of the so-called "Arab Spring," as the example he hoped will be followed by the revolting masses, which would have positioned him in the place of the regional mentor and leader.

But while the eruption of the Syrian conflict compelled him to reveal his Islamist "hidden agenda" and his alliance with the MBI, the removal of MBI last July from power in Egypt with all its geopolitical weight, supported by the other regional Arab heavy weight of Saudi Arabia, took him off guard and dispelled his ambitions for regional leadership, but more importantly revealed more his neo-Ottoman "hidden agenda" and pushed him to drop all the secular and liberal pretensions of his "Turkish model" rhetoric.

'Arab Idol' No More

Erdogan and his foreign policy engineer Davotoglu tried as well to exploit the Arab and Muslim adoption of the Palestine Question as the central item on their foreign policy agendas.

However, in interviews with ResearchTurkey, CNN Turk and other media outlets, Abdullatif Sener, a founder of Erdogan's AKP party who served as deputy prime minister and minister of finance in successive AKP governments for about seven years before he broke out with Erdogan in 2008, highlighted Erdogan's Machiavellianism and questioned the sincerity and credibility of his Islamic, Palestinian and Arab public posturing.

"Erdogan acts without considering religion even at some basic issues but he hands down sharp religious messages … I consider the AK Party not as an Islamic party but as a party which collect votes by using Islamic discourses," Sener said, adding that, "the role in Middle East was assigned to him" and "the strongest logistic support" to Islamists who have "been carrying out terrorist activities" in Syria "is provided by Turkey" of Erdogan.

In an interview with CNN Turk, Sener dropped a bombshell when he pointed out that the AKP's spat with Israel was "controlled." During the diplomatic boycott of Israel many tenders were granted to Israeli companies and Turkey has agreed to grant partner status to Israel in NATO: "If the concern of the AKP is to confront Israel then why do they serve to the benefit of Israel ?" In another interview he said that the NATO radar systems installed in Malatya are there to protect Israel against Iran .

Sener argued that the biggest winner of the collapse of the Syrian government of President Bashar al-Assad would be Israel because it will weaken Lebanon 's Hizbullah and Iran , yet Erdogan's Turkey is the most ardent supporter of a regime change in Syria , he said.

Erdogan's Syrian policy was the death knell to his strategy of "Zero Problems with Neighbors;" the bloody terrorist swamp of the Syrian conflict has drowned it in its quicksand.

Liz Sly's story in the Washington Post on this November 17 highlighted how his Syrian policies "have gone awry" and counterproductive by "putting al-Qaeda on NATO's (Turkish) borders for the first time."

With his MBI alliance, he alienated Egypt , Saudi Arabia and the UAE, in addition to the other Arab heavy weights of Syria , Iraq and Algeria and was left with "zero friends" in the region.

According to Günter Seufert, Turkey 's overall foreign policy, not only with regards to Syria , "has hit the brick wall" because the leadership of Erdogan's ruling party "has viewed global political shifts through an ideologically (i.e. Islamist) tinted lens."

Backpedaling too late

Now it seems Erdogan's " Turkey is already carefully backpedaling" on its foreign policy," said Seufert. It "wants to reconnect" with Iran and " Washington 's request to end support for radical groups in Syria did not fall on deaf Turkish ears."

"Reconnecting" with Iran and its Iraqi ruling sectarian brethren will alienate further the Saudis who could not tolerate similar reconnection by their historical and strategic US ally and who were already furious over Erdogan's alliance with the Qatari financed and US sponsored Muslim Brotherhood and did not hesitate to publicly risk a rift with their US ally over the removal of the MBI from power in Egypt five months ago.

Within this context came Davotoglu's recent visit to Baghdad , which "highlighted the need for great cooperation between Turkey and Iraq against the Sunni-Shiite conflict," according to www.turkishweekly.net on this November 13. Moreover, he "personally" wanted "to spend the month of Muharram every year in (the Iraqi Shiite holy places of) Karbala and Najaf with our (Shiite) brothers there."

Within the same "backpedaling" context came Erdogan's playing the host last week to the president of the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government, Massoud Barzani, not in Ankara , but in Diyarbakir , which Turkish Kurds cherish as their capital in the same way Iraqi Kurds cherish Kirkuk .

However, on the same day of Barzani's visit Erdogan ruled out the possibility of granting Turkish Kurds their universal right of self-determination when he announced "Islamic brotherhood" as the solution for the Kurdish ethnic conflict in Turkey , while his deputy, Bulent Arinc, announced that "a general amnesty" for Kurdish detainees "is not on today's agenda." Three days earlier, on this November 15, Turkish President Abdullah Gul said, "Turkey cannot permit (the) fait accompli" of declaring a Kurdish provisional self-rule along its southern borders in Syria which his prime minister's counterproductive policies created together with an al-Qaeda-dominated northeastern strip of Syrian land.

Erdogan's neo-Ottomanism charged by his Islamist sectarian ideology as a tool has backfired to alienate both Sunni and Shiite regional environment, the Syrian, Iraqi, Egyptian, Emirati, Saudi and Lebanese Arabs, Kurds, Armenians, Israelis and Iranians as well as Turkish and regional liberals and secularists. His foreign policy is in shambles with a heavy economic price as shown by the recent 13.2% devaluation of the Turkish lira against the US dollar.

"Backpedaling" might be too late to get Erdogan and his party through the upcoming local elections next March and the presidential elections which will follow in August next year.

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