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THE QUESTION OF LACHIN AND A COUPLE OF MORE QUESTIONS REMAIN UNCERTAIN


MosJan

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THE QUESTION OF LACHIN AND A COUPLE OF MORE QUESTIONS REMAIN

  • "Armenia, in fact, is under blockade because of Nagorno-Artsax conflict," said Foreign Minister of Russia Sergey Lavrov in an interview to "Rossiyskaya Gazeta". "Armenia's contacts with abroad are very complicated. It is in the vital interests of the Armenian people to remove the blockade as fast as possible," he added.

     

    According to Lavrov, Armenia has only a couple of ways out of the stalemate. "As soon as the conflict in Artsax is settled, Turkey will help Armenia in establishing normal contatcs with abroad due to establishment of official diplomatic relations with Ankara".

     

    In anyways, even before the crisis in Caucasus, which in this case implies the august events in Georgia, there were considerable opportunities for progress in Artsax process, both due to meetings of the Armenian and Azerbaijani Presidents and to the OSCE Minsk Group.

     

    Lavrov thinks that only a couple of questions are left to be settled between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and that questions will be seemingly settled during the next meetings of the Presidents of the two countries. The Presidents are supposed to meet after the elections in Azerbaijan.

     

    Speaking of the unsettled issues, Lavrov said, "The most important thing is the Lachin passage. The impression of Russia, as a member of international mediation group, is that the settlement of that problem is quite realistic."

     

    Lavrov stressed that the August events and the difficulties that they caused Armenia, show the necessity of swiftest settlement of the Artsax conflict.

  • By A. Haroutinunian, translated by A.M.
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The Presidents are supposed to meet after the elections in Azerbaijan.

naturally, no speculation as who will win the next election. lol

 

and, i don't think it will be resolved diplomatically. i don't see how: if armenia gives up even an inch of territory, chances are veterans will lead some sort of a revolt and oust sarkissian.

the reality is that both azeris and armenians know that the problem will not last till 2012. so the objective of the azeris is to capture this before going into economic depression, and armenians only want to hold on till then, where they will be homefree.

suppose that they agree to settle this diplomatically, armenia knows that, even if the present azeri government aknowledged the breakaway state, in exchange for the bufferzone, azerbaijan is unstable, who knows what will happen, what sort of coup there will be, and who will be the next president in azerbaijan. azeris have been fed ultranationalistic anti armenian rhetoric for almost 2 decades, they will certainly not simply say "oh ok...nice armenians" most of these, the teenagers (Not having ever met an armenian) are usually the most fanatic, they dream of riping our heads out with their teeth. so, if we give them the bufferzone, then they wre within marching distance of stepanakert, and of cutting armenia in half in zangezur.

 

so no negotiations

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