Washington-hatched-power-shift-in-armenia

[Mihr]

Washington may be preparing a power change in Armenia

 

 

http://www.huliq.com/2294/washington-hatch...hift-in-armenia

[hosank]

sorry buddy, but that seems alittle far fetched, probably fit for a tom clancy book

[Dave]

Pro-Washington power changes happened all over Eastern Europe and the Middle-East (i.e. Georgia, Ukraine, Lebanon, one of the Central Asian republics...) , so it's not hard to imagine one in Armenia. Edited December 23, 2006 by Dave

[hosank]

yes prowestern changes happen, but they are usually set by a willingness to get away from russia and it's representation of reawakening soviet power.

these changes are committed internally

 

the thing with armenia, is that it is already pro-western. it is still under russian influence, but an influence it is trying to brake. in a sense, it is welcome only because russia assures armenia's security.

armenia's economic and privatisation systems have been modeled on american systems. the US has the biggest embassy in the world in armenia.

the present administration is already proamerican, as i said, they offered airbases to the US in the 2003 invasion of irak and so on. Armenia is the 3rd largest receiver of american aid.

 

what was mentioned in the article is pointless because it speaks of an american government conspiracy to overthrow the existing armenian government. but, what would be the purpose of doing so anyways?

[Dave]

What if someday the US decides to invade Iran? Even though it's unlikely to happen now, the Americans would move to surround Iran, and the northern route that they'd use would be either from Armenia or from Azerbaijan.

 

They'd be wise to use the Armenian mountains. Try to make the parallel with the Battle of Carrhae. Back then, the Roman general preferred not to use the Armenian route, and was thus massacred by the Persians while trekking through the desert.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Carrhae

 

Anyway,

 

America would probably choose oil booming Azerbaijan. The quick resolution of the Karabagh conflict would thus be in America's interests, as it would want the Armenians to at least give back the liberated territories that border Iran. The current president of Armenia, a Karabaghtsi himself, wouldn't support such a thing. It would thus be in America's interests to oust his government.

 

Not that I would support it, of course...

[hosank]

yes, but you forget the basic fact that it is already in the current armenian government's interests to comply with the united states when it comes to a war with iran. azerbaijan would not allow it anyways. south of azerbaijan is iranian azerbaijan where some 10 million azeris live, an american invasion would go through there, and thus, with azeri alliance to the US, would jeapordise the savety of azeris living in iran, somewhat similar to the situation before world war one in turkish armenia.

 

either way, armenia would rather trade it's so called 'friendship' with iran for the states any day, simply because

such an alliance to a superower would check the turkish influence on the USA.

 

 

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