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#741 Yervant1

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Posted 31 August 2017 - 09:18 AM

Sputnik, Russia
Aug 30 2017
 
 
1056926960.jpg
Israeli Kamikaze Drone Export to Azerbaijan Halted After Live Demo in Karabakh
© AP Photo/ Dusan Vranic

The Israeli Defense Ministry has suspended the export license of Aeronautics Defense Systems Ltd (ADS), following a newspaper report that the Israeli company had tried to test one of its weapons systems on an Armenian military position at the request of Israel’s defense partner, Azerbaijan.

The decision to suspend ADS’s export license came after reports earlier this month that ADS members, who demonstrated  the Aeronautics Defense Orbiter 1K drone in Baku, had been asked by their Azeri hosts to use it to deliver an explosive payload on an Armenian military position in Azerbaijan’s breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh region, The Jerusalem Post said.

After the ADS specialists operating the drone refused to use it against the Armenian position, their senior colleagues took over, operating the drone themselves.

 

Even though they missed the target during the demonstration on July 7, two Armenian soldiers were slightly wounded in the strike, the Jerusalem Post reported, citing Col. Armen Gyozalian, the commander of an army unit stationed in northeastern Nagorno-Karabakh.

 

As a result of the suspension, the Israeli firm will lose around $20 million in the next two years as it is prevented from continuing exports to Azerbaijan, the newspaper wrote.

Relations between Baku and Yerevan have been strained due to the conflict in the breakaway Karabakh region.

The conflict in Azerbaijan's Armenian-dominated Nagorno-Karabakh began in 1988, when the autonomous region sought to secede from the Azerbaijan Soviet Socialist Republic, before proclaiming independence after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991.

 

The warring sides agreed to a cessation of hostilities in 1994.

 

The violence in Nagorno-Karabakh escalated on April 2 last year. Baku and Yerevan accused each other of provoking hostilities that led to multiple deaths on each side.

A cease-fire was agreed on several days later on April 5, yet hostilities continue.

https://sputniknews....one-suspension/



#742 Yervant1

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Posted 31 August 2017 - 09:40 AM

pngRw_P5kQQZe.png
 
Israeli Firm Loses Kamikaze-drone Export License After Complaint It Carried Out Live Demo on Armenian Army
 
Defense Minister freezes license for Azerbaijan amid investigation over reports that Aeronautics demonstrated use of aircraft by attacking Armenian army position
 
Gili Cohen  Aug 29, 2017 10:01 PM
 
pngJSIBLQyjRN.png
A sketch of the Orbiter 1k drone as shown on Aeronautics Defense Systems' website Screen capture from aeronautics-sys.com
 
Israel’s Defense Ministry has frozen some of the licenses of Aeronautics, preventing the firm from exporting its drones to Azerbaijan, one of its major clients.
The action comes in the wake of an investigation of the Israeli firm by the Ministry of Defense Security Authority which was examining a complaint that Aeronautics representatives demonstrated the use of a kamikaze drone in Azerbaijan, by attacking a manned position of the Armenian army.
 
On Monday night Aeronautics informed the stock market that the Defense Ministry had frozen the marketing and export licenses of its Orbiter 1k to “an important customer of the company in a foreign country.” The company didn’t mention the name of the country, but Azerbaijan has been the company’s most important customer in recent years.
 
The company cannot export the drone to Azerbaijan — as per its original contract— or demonstrate its use, or form any ties with representatives of the Azeri army involving the drone. According to Aeronautics, the contract for supplying the kamikazi drone, an armed unmanned aircraft, totals $20 million for the next two years.
 
The Defense Ministry would not respond to Haaretz’s questions on the subject or confirm that the licenses have been frozen because of the investigation. The ministry said that the investigation of the complaint is in progress.
 
 
This is the first significant step taken by the Defense Ministry against Aeronautics Defense Systems since the reports about the use of its drone in the separatist Armenian enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh, which is a part of Azerbaijan. According to the complaint, a team from the company was asked to operate the device, which is armed with explosives, against a manned outpost of the Armenian army. Aeronautics vehemently denied the claim, and said that only the purchaser operates the device, and the company “never carries out demonstrations on live targets, as is true in this case as well.”
 
The Aeronautics licenses for Azerbaijan were frozen by the  Defense Export Controls Agency in the Defense Ministry. This body is in charge of the implementation and monitoring of the Defense Export Control Law, which contains the rules governing the defense industries. Without a marketing license, the Israeli defense industry is not allowed to form ties with an official source in a foreign country involving Israeli weapons. Without an export license, it is forbidden to send the weapons outside Israel. The Defense Export Controls Agency is also supposed to monitor the activity of the defense companies and to ensure that they abide by the rules and regulations. Among other things, it was decided that demonstrations by Israeli companies worldwide, like that of drones, would be performed without firing or using ammunition, and would only demonstrate how they are flown.
 
The company announced that it believes that the license freeze is temporary, “and is being done in the wake of an investigation by the Defense Ministry relating to the company’s activity in the client’s country and the permits required for it.” They also said that the company is examining the issue with the Defense Ministry. The rest of the company’s activity was not restricted by the ministry, nor was its overall activity in Azerbaijan.
 
Details that have reached Haaretz in recent weeks indicate that on the day of the incident that is now being examined by the Defense Ministry, there was an attack by a suicide drone on the Armenian army. In the official journal of the Armenian army a senior army official discussed the attack, adding that two soldiers were slightly wounded in the incident. According to an Armenian source, it was the only attack recently by means of a suicide drone, but until now, there was no additional evidence connecting it to Israeli drone operators. The daily newspaper Maariv first reported on the Defense Ministry’s investigation about two weeks ago.
 
Gili Cohen
Haaretz Correspondent
 
 
 

 

Drone sale to Azeris halted as maker accused of bombing Armenia in demo

http://www.timesofis...ns-during-show/

 

Israeli Drone Exports ‘Halted’ Amid Azerbaijan Inquiry

https://www.azatutyu...a/28703406.html



#743 Yervant1

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Posted 31 August 2017 - 09:42 AM

A1+   Aro from Kornidzor: Azerbaijan will take its ‘jan’ and flee (video)
  • 17:25 | August 30,2017 | Politics
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aro-470x265.jpg

On the historic day when Artsakh proclaimed its independence, the enemy spared no effort to target our positions, Commander of Kornidzor detachment Ara Khudaverdyan, best known as Aro from Kornidzor, said today.

He says those actions marked the beginning of further attacks on Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh by Azerbaijan and its allies. “”During that period, we acquired Nagorno-Karabakh, the powerful “ego” of Armenians, laid grounds for our army, which later became the Armenian Army,” he said.

Speaking about the current situation on the border, Ara Khudaverdyan ruled out large-scale operations by Azerbaijan. “The existing military and political criteria are not in the interests of Azerbaijan. Should Azerbaijan dare to attack Artsakh and Armenia again, Azerbaijan will lose itself completely and flee from there taking with it only “jan” from Azerbaijan,” he said.

 

http://en.a1plus.am/1262924.html



#744 Yervant1

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Posted 01 September 2017 - 10:10 AM

Azerbaboonjan has oil and the backing of some powerful nations because they meaning Azeries do their dirty work by transporting weapons to destinations we all know, which makes me believe that they can shoot any time they want and not get reprimanded.

Panorama, Armenia

Aug 31 2017
 
 
Ceasefire violations must cost Azerbaijan dearly to make it stop shooting, political scientist says

The OSCE is not likely to issue a targeted statement, condemning Azerbaijan for opening gunfire during the OSCE monitoring on the state border with Armenia’s Tavush region, a Yerevan-based political scientist said on Thursday.

Speaking to Panorama.am, political scientist Manvel Sargsyan predicted a more general response by the European structure to today’s border incident.

According to him, the OSCE does not draw conclusions from such cases and refrains from making condemning remarks. “This is its work style. This incident, as it is said, will pass away. More serious cases have been recorded that have been forgotten in two days. The OSCE has not expressed clear position on ceasefire breaches. The Armenian side must change its style of working to that end, whereas the country tolerates border incidents, which makes Azerbaijan excited,” Mr. Sargsyan highlighted.

The political scientist is convinced Armenia principally does not submit demands to the OSCE, otherwise that structure would carry out relevant activities.

Mr. Sargsyan believes Azerbaijan keeps violating ceasefire to show that it is not interested in the stances adopted by the OSCE and Armenia on the Karabakh conflict. In other words, the country seeks to show that they do not consider international structures and in this case the OSCE at all.

“The ceasefire violations must cost Azerbaijan dearly, so as that country stops making them. Azerbaijan will achieve its goals amid the atmosphere of impunity. As long as there are no restraining mechanisms, Baku turns them [ceasefire breaches] into a practice and strategy. If Azerbaijan faces political damage due to its own shooting, it will stop firing,” Mr. Sargsyan concluded.

https://www.panorama...rbaijan/1827692

 

 



#745 MosJan

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Posted 01 September 2017 - 10:57 AM

:(



#746 Yervant1

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Posted 03 September 2017 - 12:07 PM

The Tablet
Sept 1 2017
 
An Israeli Drone Scandal Exposes Moral and Strategic Hazards of the Country’s Burgeoning Arms Trade  

An Israeli drone manufacturer performed a “live demonstration” in the middle of a conflict zone

September 1, 2017 • 4:00 PM
 

An Israeli arms company and the Azerbaijani military teamed up for an appalling lapse in judgement last month. As Maariv and the Jerusalem Post reported, in the course of finalizing a sale of the Orbiter 1K armed drone, a team from the Israeli company Aeronautics Defense Systems was asked to demonstrate the craft’s ability’s by carrying out an attack on an Armenian army position in Karabakh, a Yerevan-backed separatist region inside of Azerbaijani territory. Two Armenian soldiers were lightly injured in the ensuing assault. This week, Israel’s defense ministry export controls agency wisely cancelled Aeronautics Defense System’s export permit for the Orbiter 1K—luckily, it was just $20 million in business, rather than actual human life, that was lost as a result of this misadventure.

Israel produces a lot of products that other countries want, and the Jewish state is on pace to surpass $100 billion in exports in a single year for the first time in its history. Defense exports will account for around $6.5 billion of that, and Israel was the world’s 10th-largest military exporter in 2016.

Having one of the world’s leading domestic arms industries buoys the Israeli economy and makes the country indispensable to some of its international partners—including Azerbaijan, a majority Shiite Muslim nation and the second-largest purchaser of Israeli weapons last year. Israel’s military-industrial complex also makes the Jewish state better equipped to independently face the diverse security challenges confronting it at a given time. Still, weapons are not quite the same as SodaStream machines or cherry tomatoes. Countries use military-grade weapons to threaten or deter their enemies or perceived enemies, or to undertake violence at a state-level scale of organization. Arms transactions thus always come with unknowable potential costs attached.

The Karabakh incident is a case in point. The “frozen” Ngarno-Karabkh conflict, which has been raging in some form since the late 80s, is at a hair trigger. Deaths have spiked over the past couple of years, with Armenia and Azerbaijan fighting their deadliest battle in over a decade in April of last year. The geo-politics of the dispute over these majority ethnic-Armenian regions of Azerbaijan are fairly Byzantine, with Russia backing both sides to varying degrees, despite having military bases in Armenia. Yerevan has a warm relationship with Iran, and it’s almost certainly in the wrong as far as international law goes. Nonetheless, Armenian-backed militants currently occupy about a fifth of Azerbaijan’s territory. The irony of Israel siding with Azerbaijan hasn’t been lost on some observers: “Politically, Israel’s insistence on maintaining the status quo in the West Bank is actually similar to the Armenians’ position,” retired IDF general Ephraim Sneh wrote last year. “Here too, when it comes to ending the conflict, nationalist populism supersedes national interests.”

Israel has sold some $5 billion in weapons to Azerbaijan, and last month’s incident suggests that Baku’s patronage has a potential dark side. It wouldn’t have been in Israel’s national interest for one of its companies to have accidentally ignited a deadly international powder keg hundreds of miles from the country’s borders. Incidents like these are thankfully rare, but it only takes one of them to expose the moral and strategic hazards of Israel’s flourishing arms trade.

Armin Rosen is a New York-based writer. He has written for The Atlantic, City Journal, and World Affairs Journal, and was recently a senior reporter for Business Insider.

http://www.tabletmag...ning-arms-trade



#747 Yervant1

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Posted 21 September 2017 - 09:25 AM

PanArmenian, Armenia
Sept 20 2017
 
 
Czech government unaware of “lethal weapons” sale to Azerbaijan

The government of the Czech Republic on Tuesday, September 19 claimed it had not authorized the newly disclosed delivery to Azerbaijan of Czech-made heavy artillery systems, RFE/RL Armenian Service reports.

The Azerbaijani military began on Monday large-scale exercises which it said are involving 15,000 troops as well as hundreds of tanks, armored personnel carriers, cannons and other military hardware. Photographs released by it showed two columns of Dana self-propelled howitzers and RM-70 multiple-launch rocket systems joining the drills.

The weapons are manufactured by Czech companies. The Azerbaijani Defense Ministry did not demonstrate them until this year. It is not clear when and how it got hold of them.

In a statement, the foreign ministry in Prague insisted that in recent years the Czech government has not issued mandatory licenses for the sale of any “lethal weapons” to Azerbaijan. Moreover, it said, the government turned down in 2017 and 2016 Azerbaijani requests for the purchase of the 152-milimeter Dana howitzers and the 122-milimeter RM-70 rockets and informed the European Union about that.

The ministry added that it does not know just how they were delivered to Azerbaijan. It promised to look into the matter.

The United States and other key NATO members states have long maintained embargoes on sales of offensive weapons to Armenia and Azerbaijan. The Czech Republic joined the alliance in 1999.

The Czech Foreign Ministry said the Central European nation is strongly opposed to any attempts at a military solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict.

http://panarmenian.n...eng/news/246709



#748 Yervant1

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Posted 21 September 2017 - 09:26 AM

PanArmenian, Armenia
Sept 20 2017
 
 
Azerbaijan pursues goal of destroying Artsakh people: Armenia
 

The Nagorno Karabakh conflict is a human rights issue and can only be solved through the people's free self-determination, Armenian president Serzh Sargsyan told the 72nd session of the UN General Assembly in New York on Tuesday, September 19.

"The new state of Artsakh's self-determiniation started some 30 years ago. In response to the peaceful calls for the realization of the indivisible right of Armenians to self-determination, Azerbaijan turned to the use of force," Sargsyan said.

"The culmination of Azerbaijan's policies were the massacres of the Armenian population and the mass deportations, leaving the people of Artsakh no other choice than to defend themselves."

"Last year's Four-Day War proved that Azerbaijan still pursues its goal of destroying the Artsakh people," Sargsyan said, adding that Azerbaijan is a symbol of medieval backwardness for a developing democracy in Artsakh.

Azerbaijan on April 2, 2016 launched a large-scale military offensive against Nagorno Karabakh, which left hundreds dead on both sides. Top Armenian and Azerbaijani defense officials reached an agreement on the cessation of hostilities on April 5 in Moscow.

"We are confident there is no alternative to the peaceful settlement of the conflict, and from this high podium I reaffirm our commitment in this regard. "

http://panarmenian.n...eng/news/246707


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#749 Yervant1

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Posted 22 September 2017 - 10:07 AM

Panorama, Armenia
Sept 21 2017
 
 
Armenian soldier awarded with ‘For Service in Battle’ medal for saving officer’s life

f59c3c25a4ad55_59c3c25a4ad93.thumb.jpg

President of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan on Thursday awarded mandatory serviceman, private Vahe Grigoryan with the ‘For Service in Battle’ medal for his services rendered during the defense of the fatherland, particularly for saving an officer’s life.

Speaking to reporters on Thursday, Vahe Grigoryan said that he is conducting his military service in Talish, Nagorno-Karabakh.

“I was receiving hospital treatment when I learnt that I had received an award. Overnight June 15, the officer sustained an injury in the Azerbaijani shooting. While taking him down, I was also wounded in the arm. Currently I am under treatment process, after which I will resume my military service,” he detailed.

https://www.panorama...er-life/1838119



#750 Yervant1

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Posted 24 September 2017 - 08:40 AM

Peace loving country of fake sultan constantly breaks the cease fire agreement!

PanArmenian, Armenia

Sept 23 2017
 
 
4000 shots fired by Azerbaijan in ceasefire violations over past week
 

Azerbaijani armed forced fired 4000 shots towards Nagorno Karabakh (Artsakh) positions in ceasefire violations over the period between September 17 and 23.

Besides firearms, the Azeri troops also used grenade launchers in the southeastern section of the contact line.

The Karabakh frontline units continue retaining the upper hand on the contact line and taking necessary steps to protect their positions.

 

http://panarmenian.n...eng/news/246853

 

 



#751 Yervant1

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Posted 29 September 2017 - 09:55 AM

How can you have peace with barbarians who breaks the cease fire on a regular base!

Rest in peace son of Armenian nation.
 

Panorama, Armenia

Sept 28 2017
 
 
Artsakh soldier killed in Azerbaijani fire

On September 28, at around 15:00, Artsakh Defense Army soldier identified as Seyran Manvel Sargsyan (b. 1986) sustained a fatal gunshot wound due to Azerbaijani fire in one of the military bases of Karabakh Defense Army located in the southeastern direction. As the Press Service of Artsakh Defense Ministry told Panorama.am, a probe is underway to uncover the circumstances of the incident.

The Defense Ministry of Artsakh shares the grief of the loss and extends its condolences to the family members, relatives and fellow servicemen of the deceased soldier.

https://www.panorama...soldier/1841911

 

 



#752 Yervant1

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Posted 05 October 2017 - 09:40 AM

Belling Cat
Oct 4 2017
 
 
Azerbaijan’s Militarization and the Status of Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic

October 4, 2017

By Masis Ingilizian

 
Upper-part-of-Garrison-Zoomed-2017-Image Upper-part-of-garrison-Zoomed-2008-image

The peace process between Armenia and Azerbaijan was severely weakened due to the April 2016 four-day war, with further complications due to Azerbaijan asserting its military prowess through a build-up in its exclave of Nakhichevan. This military build-up in Nakhichevan has led to Armenia becoming a more hesitant partner in the OSCE mediation efforts. Additionally, the four-day war has caused Armenia to shift its perception of the role of the West and Russia–who were reluctant to restrain Azerbaijan’s actions in the brief war–in the process of seeking resolution in the ongoing conflict between the two Caucasian nations. Over a year since the four-day war and through the ongoing Azerbaijani military build-up in the Nakhichevan exclave, it has become clear that Armenia is moving towards a change in its strategy with dealing with its neighbor.

Zoomed-out-of-garrison-2013-imagery.jpg

2013 imagery of the garrison via Google Earth

During the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict in the 1990s, both nations took the opportunity to occupy the smaller enclaves within their respective territories that belonged to the other nation, leading to minor battles erupting outside the Nagorno Karabakh battlezone. Both parties raced to secure borders in order to create a fait accompli that would ensure a favourable demarcation line during future clashes. However, on the Nakhichevan border, geopolitics quickly put a stop to these incursions, as the major powers attempted to limit the battle space in order to avert a larger conflict between the superpowers. Turkey announced it would declare war if Armenia continued its expeditions along the Nakhichevan border, and Russia responded by saying that “we would be on the brink of a new war” if any other nation intervened. This deterrence has been the key factor in holding both nations back from renewed conflict over the exclave and was also a contributing factor to Azerbaijan’s reluctance to militarize the exclave up until 2012. As a result, the border was inactive up until 2012, with only rare clashes demonstrating how larger nations were able to restrain smaller foes from achieving their strategic goals. However, this unspoken status quo is now changing and could radically alter the outcome of a potential, if not likely, future conflict.

Nagorno-Karabagh-Map-with-Legend.png

Azerbaijan’s television broadcasts and official videos on Nakhichevan’s military preparedness have shed more light on developments in the exclave. Along with war games with Turkey in the exclave, this renewed show of might indicates an Azerbaijani military  rejuvenation. Google Earth imagery of Nakhichevan reveals a steady military build-up since 2012, in contrast to the minimum fire power indicated by Google Earth history prior to that year. Also significant is the Nakhichevan Separate Combined Arms Army established by President Aliyev in 2013.In the light of this build-up, Azerbaijan’s shift in policy, and the April 2016 4-day war, a resumption of violence on the Armenia-Nakhichevan border is a real possibility in the case of war.

 

Even without Nakhichevan entering a future conflict, the exclave will play a major role in a future war by potentially diverting Armenian troops from the Karabagh front, a tactic that would favour Azerbaijan. An exclave that previously had no role in any possible future hostilities is now becoming part of the extended battlefield. While the major powers have used a soft approach to contain the battle space to Nagorno-Karabakh, the military build-up in Nakhichevan has apparently broken this unspoken understanding.

Lower-Half-of-Bottom-part-of-garrison-20

Aerial view of the Nakhichevan garrison. Historical imagery on Google Earth shows us that, in 2008, the garrison is almost empty.

Lower-half-of-Bottom-part-of-garrison-20

Display of a consistent build-up throughout the garrison. This 2013 imagery details various tracked vehicles, towed artillery and air defence systems.

The unspoken accords regarding the status of the exclave are not formal agreements; however, they provide a clear picture of the alliances and deter Armenia and Azerbaijan from drawing the major powers into a future conflict. Nakhichevan’s border with Turkey provides it with quasi-political protection by Turkey as the large power ally for Azerbaijan. The exclave’s lack of land access to Azerbaijan has forced it to find additional protection — in this case Turkey. At the same time, Armenia’s treaty with Russia currently allows Armenia to ask for Russian assistance in the case of an attack by an aggressor, including an attack by Azerbaijan via Nakhichevan (see: Shougarian, Rouben (1997). “Yielding More to Gain the Essential: The Factor of Timing of the Russian Armenian Treaty in 1997”, Tufts University.). This has effectively created an unspoken truce between Russia and Turkey, which, along with their support for their smaller allies Armenia and Azerbaijan, respectively, is indicative of a lack of will to engage in warfare on the Russian-Turkish front, irrespective of combatants.

Theoretically, the exclave’s potential role in a renewed conflict could tip the balance in Azerbaijan’s favour. However, this potential advantage needs to be weighed against the isolation of the exclave, which provides Armenia with an advantage.

In the case of a resumption of hostilities, Azerbaijan’s main objective would be to use Nakhichevan as a platform to hit strategic targets in Armenia proper. One of these targets is Armenia’s S300PS systems, a sophisticated air defence system that protects the skies of Nagorno-Karabakh and also deters Nakhichevan’s air force from their operations. A number main roads are also within range, including one that links Karabagh with Armenia. These roads lie within direct range of Azerbaijan’s Nakhichevan-based artillery. Another major concern for Armenia is that its capital—Yerevan—is well within firing range of Azerbaijan’s MLRS and, while it is risky for Azerbaijan to strike a major city, this scenario still needs to be taken into account by Armenian military decision-makers.

Zoomed-in-S300PS-Range.jpg

The yellow pin placemark pins the Nakhichevan garrison in the exclave, the strip of territory lying between Armenia and Iran with a north-western border with Turkey. The red circular range rings represent the range of S300PS in Armenia, protecting the Nagorno-Karabagh region to the northeast as well as most of Nakhichevan.

Any attempt to strike the S300PS could potentially trigger an all-out war, which would require both nations drawing on larger forces rather than their reserves. For Armenia, this scenario would require practise-makes-perfect training to ensure sufficiently quick teardown times to relocate the batteries. This manoeuvre is achievable, as the batteries are designed to be relocated within 30 minutes (see: IMINT Analysis V1N3 April 2011). However, if the batteries are struck and become unoperational, this could provide the Azerbaijani Air Force with less sophisticated air defense assets to deal with in an air campaign against Nagorno-Karabagh’s forces. In addition to this difficulty, the mountain chain that runs along the entire length of the border between Armenia and Nakhichevan is around 4 to 6 thousand feet higher than the lowlands of the Nakhichevan plains, providing a natural barrier limiting Azerbaijan’s capacity for striking targets accurately.

Armenian-Air-Defence-Assets-and-S300PM-Y

The two yellow triangles depict the location of the S300PS, located well within the borders of Armenia proper (Picture courtesy Sean O’Connor). These air defense assets provide a sophisticated air defence umbrella over Nagorno-Karabagh (not shown on the map) as seen with the red circles in the previous picture. In a possible scenario of a second front in the next war, the S300PS systems (yellow triangles) are strategic targets for Azerbaijan from the Nakhichevan exclave. The Red triangles around Yerevan are also a sophisticated air defence assets which are also in range from Nakhichevan, not to mention Yerevan’s vulnerability.

Other targets from Nakhichevan include main roads that act as supply lines to Karabagh from Armenia. Strategic targets such as these roads are often first on the strike list and will be contemplated in a resumption of hostilities, creating a larger theater of war than originally anticipated. However, this scenario could quickly get out of hand if the Azerbaijani military decides to hit strategic targets, resulting in a potential all out war. Also, Smerch MLRSes have been identified in Nakhichevan and, with a 90 km range, these can strike at the heart of Yerevan. Furthermore, the mountain range that extends along much of the Nakhichevan border ends in the north, 20km short of the junction of the Turkish and Armenian borders, providing Azerbaijan with tactical ground to fire into Armenia from Nakhichevan. This also provides an opportunity for ground troops from both nations to enter from flat land.

On the other side of the picture is the geographical isolation of Nakhichevan, which carries its own risks for Azerbaijan in any resumption of hostilities. While the militarization of the exclave allows for a potential strike against strategic targets in Armenia, this would come at the cost of a massive retaliation from the Armenian side. It would therefore be unwise for Azerbaijan to sacrifice the whole region in the hope of getting Turkey involved or in the hope of diverting Armenian troops away from Nagorno-Karabakh. Nakhichevan’s geographical isolation would provide Armenia with an easy opportunity to fire into Nakhichevan from vantage points held by its military. It would also allow Armenian troops to easily seize mountain-top posts of the exclave as a buffer, as was seen in 2014 when Armenian troops established control over previously unmanned heights right on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border in Nakhichevan during a well-planned surprise night raid.

A change has also been noted in Azerbaijan’s policy towards Nagorno-Karabakh, leading to a shift away from the negotiation process towards settling the conflict through military means. Azerbaijan’s attack on regions within Nagorno Karabakh itself (which fall under self-determination clauses) in the 4-day war has left many wondering why the superpowers, especially Russia, allowed Azerbaijan to attack regions other than the disputed territories (which are marked for return under the principles written for a negotiated settlement).

Furthermore, Russia, who plays the role of peacemaker between the two nations, simultaneously continues to arm both sides. Russia’s renewed interest in Azerbaijan and the sale of the S300PMU2 to Baku, an enemy of its ally, raises several questions, in particular why Russia is so hesitant to use its arms sales and status as a superpower as leverage in influencing Azerbaijan’s military policy towards Nagorno-Karabagh.

Bellingcat has been tracking military developments in the Nakhichevan exclave, covering artillery, tanks, close air-support aircrafts and attack helicopters. Various confirmed reports of the presence of Turkish-made TR-300MLR and Smerch MLRSes have been noted. Considering the status quo of the exclave to date and the accords that hold it back it from entering a conflict, its military build-up is concerning. However, this build-up is not surprising when seen in the context of the various shifts in strategic interests in the region, including an increasingly closer relationship between Russia and Azerbaijan. Therefore it is possible that a major power has changed its position on Nakhichevan’s unspoken status, providing Azerbaijan with geopolitical permission to engage in a future conflict and greater freedom to pursue militarization, as seen with the unfolding developments in current and historical imagery.

The reality on the ground has shifted from when many of the negotiating principles were drawn up and, with the larger powers playing their own game, it seems their lack of committed to the peace process will leave Armenia and Azerbaijan to battle it out themselves.

https://www.bellingc...omous-republic/



#753 Yervant1

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Posted 12 October 2017 - 10:03 AM

Panorama, Armenia
Oct 11 2017
 
 
Investigative Committee releases details over death of Armenian soldier due to Azeri shooting

 

The Armenian serviceman killed in Azerbaijan gunfire on October 10, at a military unit located in the north-eastern direction of Armenia sustained a fatal gunshot wound while doing engineering work, a probe by the Investigative Committee has revealed.

According to the report by the committee, soldier Chaplin Armen Margaryan (b. 1998) was immediately taken to hospital after sustaining the wound in the chest.

The Sixth Garrison Investigation Division of the Investigative Committee has launched a criminal case into the incident under Article 34-104 (Part 2, Point 13) of the RA Criminal Code.

The inquest body was informed from the hospital sources that the soldier's biological death was recorded at 9:00pm on Tuesday.

The preliminary probe is underway, with all the necessary measures taken to ensure a comprehensive, objective and full investigation.

https://www.panorama...hooting/1848231

 


#754 MosJan

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Posted 12 October 2017 - 01:10 PM

:(



#755 Yervant1

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Posted 14 October 2017 - 10:39 AM

If there is no guarantee, why are we talking about the return of five districts. This makes no sense at all!  

Pan Armenian, Armenia

Oct 13 2017
 
 
Armenia: No guarantee that Baku won't re-launch Karabakh offensive

Deputy Armenian foreign minister Shavarsh Kocharyan has said that there is no guarantee that Azerbaijan won't resume military operations against Nagorno Karabakh, Aysor.am reports.

"How can we talk about progress in negotiations when there is no trust between the sides?" Kocharyan was quoted as saying on Thursday, October 12.

"The fact that Azerbaijan backs away from its international commitments challenges any agreement in the future. Baku may sign a deal and fail to remain true to it the next day."

Lack of progress in negotiations, he says, stems from Azerbaijan's choice of the use of force policy against self-determination.

The deputy foreign minister reminded that the three co-chairing countries of the OSCE Minsk Group - the United States, France and Russia - are all permanent members of the United Nations Security Council.

"N1 mission of the Security Council's permanent members is to ensure that no war breaks in any corner of the world. But when they are mediators (in the Karabakh peace process - Ed.), and hostilities still happen, this is a slap in the face for the three of them," Kocharyan explained.

Azerbaijan, according to the diplomat, is well aware of this fact and seeks to change the format by all means.

http://panarmenian.n...eng/news/247562

 

 



#756 Yervant1

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Posted 14 October 2017 - 11:10 AM

ARKA, Armenia
Oct 13 2017
 
 
Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents to meet in Geneva next week
 
 
 
 
860afb9c78962a4bc5e9845fab5edee0.jpg
 

YEREVAN, October 13. /ARKA/.  Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents Serzh Sargsyan and Ilham Aliyev will meet in Geneva, Switzerland, next week in an attempt to resume the talks on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement, the deputy chairman of the governing Republican Party of Armenia (HAK) Armen Ashotyan said following a meeting of the party’s executive body late on Thursday. 

Ashotyan, who is also chairman of a parliamentary committee on foreign affairs, said during the executive body’s meeting the president spoke about a meeting of the Council of CIS Heads of State and the Supreme Council of the Eurasian Economic Union in Sochi and touched upon his upcoming meeting with Azerbaijani opposite number next week in Geneva initiated by the co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group.

Ashotyan also noted that, despite recent statements by Azerbaijani officials that the Karabakh conflict negotiations will be started without preconditions, the Armenian president, nevertheless, will participate in the meeting to remain committed to the format of the negotiation process. 

Speaking about expectations from the upcoming meeting, he said for a successful negotiation process, it is necessary to create an atmosphere of confidence, to provide the OSCE mission with broader powers, to create reliable mechanisms for investigating incidents (at the border) - in other words, to restore the existing, albeit weak trust towards Armenia’s neighbor, which was there before the April war.

In this regard, Ashotyan added that the negotiation process is continuing, but at this stage it is more important to restore the atmosphere of trust within this process, which will allow the sides to look more optimistically towards the negotiating future.

The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict erupted into armed clashes after the collapse of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s as the predominantly Armenian-populated enclave of Azerbaijan sought to secede from Azerbaijan and declared its independence backed by a successful referendum.  On May 12, 1994, the Bishkek cease-fire agreement put an end to the military operations. 

A truce was brokered by Russia in 1994, although no permanent peace agreement has been signed. Since then, Nagorno-Karabakh and several adjacent regions have been under the control of Armenian forces of Karabakh.  

Nagorno-Karabakh is the longest-running post-Soviet era conflict and has continued to simmer despite the relative peace of the past two decades, with snipers causing tens of deaths a year. On April 2, 2016, Azerbaijan launched military assaults along the entire perimeter of its contact line with Nagorno-Karabakh. Four days later a cease-fire was reached. ---0---

 


#757 MosJan

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Posted 14 October 2017 - 11:32 AM

get ready Armenia. any time this 2 see each other same day  something happens  on the border



#758 Yervant1

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Posted 17 October 2017 - 09:42 AM

Another useless meeting!

EurasiaNet.org

Oct 16 2017
 
 
Aliyev and Sargsyan Tete-a-Tete Meets Low Expectations
October 16, 2017 - 10:52am, by Joshua Kucera
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  •  
 
26498_b.jpg
The presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan, Serzh Sargsyan and Ilham Aliyev, during talks in Geneva. It was their first one-to-one meeting in more than a year. (photo: president.am)

The presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan met October 16 for the first time in more than a year to discuss the smoldering conflict over Nagorno Karabakh. Expectations for the meeting were low, and the results of the meeting appeared to be meager.

After the meeting in Geneva, the two sides released a joint statement saying that they agreed "to take measures to intensify the negotiation process and to take additional steps to reduce tensions on the Line of Contact." It's not clear what those measures were.

Ahead of the meeting, MP Armen Ashotyan of the ruling Republican Party of Armenia told media that the main goal of the summit would be to “improving the atmosphere” to make more substantive negotiations possible.

At least superficially, the atmosphere did seem to be improved. A photo of the two presidents, Serzh Sargsyan of Armenia and Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan showed them both smiling, sitting outside in what appears to be a lovely Swiss fall day. 

The mood may still have been good from last week, when the two apparently met informally, along with Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, at a summit of the Commonwealth of Independent States in Sochi. According to Lukashenko's account, he was discussing Karabakh with Aliyev. "You will be surprised to hear that the president of Armenia also took part in those discussions, and we all three made jokes at each other," Lukashenko said.

Other observers had had somewhat more optimistic expectations ahead of the talks. Carey Cavanaugh, who was the top United States official working on Karabakh negotiations from 1999-2001, tweeted: "3 easy items to watch for at #Armenia-#Azerbaijan Summit: movement on #Karabakh incidents mechanism; more #OSCE monitors; date 4 next talks." He continued: "2 hard items to watch for at #Armenia-#Azerbaijan Summit: bilateral military CSBMs [confidence- and security-building measures]; steps toward preparing for a future together."

And finally: "Hardest item to watch for at #Armenia-#Azerbaijan Summit: genuine commitment by both presidents to effect political compromise on #Karabakh."

Of the "easy" items, only the "movement on Karabakh incidents mechanism" could be said to have been met, and then only under a generous interpretation. 

The dim hopes for any sort of breakthrough were perhaps illustrated by a spat between Azerbaijan Foreign Ministry spokesman Hikmet Hajiyev, and Nairi Petrossian, a foreign policy aide to Sargsyan, in response to Cavanaugh's tweets. Hajiyev insisted that a withdrawal of Armenian forces was the "fundamental issue" and that any technical steps were secondary; Petrossian accused him of "conjecture and speculation."

The last time Aliyev and Sargsyan met was last year, once in May in Vienna and then in June in St. Petersburg. That was just after the worst fighting in more than 20 years in Karabakh, which is internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan but which has been controlled since 1994 by Armenian forces. 

At last year's meetings, there did appear to be a real breakthrough, as the two reportedly agreed to strengthen ceasefire monitoring along the Nagorno Karabakh line of contact, something Azerbaijan had long resisted. Not long after, though, Aliyev walked back that promise and nothing seems to have come of it. 

Still, it should be noted that while nearly everyone predicted that this summer would see a return to fighting in Karabakh, it's now mid-October (knock on wood) and the summer has passed without major incident. An Armenian commander in Karabakh said at the end of September that it was the quietest period he remembered in years. 

As for the next diplomatic steps, the negotiators said that they will "organize working sessions with the [foreign] Ministers in the near future."

http://www.eurasianet.org/node/85561

 

 



#759 Yervant1

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Posted 17 October 2017 - 09:43 AM

The Armenian Weekly
Oct 16 2017
 
 
Artsakh MFA: Peace Talks Must Continue with ‘Direct Participation’ of Artsakh

By Weekly Staff on October 16, 2017

 

 

 

STEPANAKERT, Artsakh (A.W.)—The Artsakh Ministry of Foreign Affairs reiterated its call to directly participate in the negotiation talks for the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabagh (Artsakh) conflict following the meeting between the presidents and foreign ministers of Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva.

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The presidents and foreign ministers of Armenia and Azerbaijan meet with OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs and officials in Geneva on Oct. 16 (Photo: Press Service of the President of Armenia)

“The meeting of the presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan on Oct. 16 is very important from the point of view of creating conditions for the activization of the negotiation process, which was seriously damaged as a result of the aggression against Artsakh unleashed by Azerbaijan in April 2016,” read a part of the statement released by the Artsakh Foreign Ministry.

The ministry went on to say that the strict adherence to the agreements of 1994 and 1995, as well as the realization of the earlier-reached agreements are necessary in the negotiation process. The statement noted the importance of the implementation of investigation mechanisms on the line of contact (LoC), as well as the expansion of the Office of Personal Representative of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) Chairperson-in-Office and the enhancement of its monitoring capacities.

“We believe that the restoration of full-fledged talks with the direct participation of the Republic  of Artsakh at all the stages should be another step on the way to achieving real progress in the settlement process of the Azerbaijani-Karabagh conflict,” the statement concluded.

The presidents and foreign ministers of Armenia and Azerbaijan met in Geneva on Oct. 16 under the auspices of the co-chairs of OSCE Minsk Group.

Minsk Group Co-Chairs Igor Popov (Russia), Stephane Visconti (France), and Andrew Schofer (U.S.), as well as Personal Representative of the OSCE Chairperson-in-Office Andrzej Kasprzyk, also participated in the meeting, which took place in a “constructive atmosphere,” according to a joint statement released by the foreign ministers of Armenia and Azerbaijan and the Minsk Group co-chairs.

https://armenianweek...pation-artsakh/

 

 



#760 MosJan

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Posted 17 October 2017 - 04:51 PM

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