Azerbaijan escalates the situation along the border with Artsakh every time it needs to divert public attention from something.
“The country [Azerbaijan] has serious economic problems: oil prices have gone down, one of the largest banks has gone bankrupt, therefore they are escalating the situation,” says Taron Hovhannisyan, an expert on Azerbaijani studies and expert for razm.info website.
He says tensions are always expected, and Armenia should always be ready for resumption of hostilities.
The expert says it is wrong that people in Armenia call Azerbaijanis “sheep” and announce that they can reach Baku at any moment.
Likewise, Azerbaijanis believe that they can win the war. The situation on the border with Azerbaijan is controlled by Armenia, and the equilibrium is maintained,” the expert said.
Garik Harutyunyan says the Armenian side always responds to Azerbaijan’s military operations.
The experts have observed a tendency to underestimate and overestimate Azerbaijan. “They are not sheep, they are arming themselves with knowledge and weapons. We need to do the same. This is the only way,” Mr Hovhannisyan said.
Military actions always start suddenly and it is difficult to predict whether escalations will grow into full-scale war or not.